Welcome to my daily Underdog Steaking pick, where I chase the high-risk, high-reward 11-leg streak for a chance to win up to 1,000x your bet. This challenge comes from Underdog Fantasy’s “Steaking” contest, where hitting 11 correct picks in a row turns a small wager into a massive payout.
However, there’s a twist.
Because I’m focusing specifically on Team NRFI picks (betting that just one team won’t score in the first inning, rather than the full game NRFI), the payout multiplier is lower — around 0.61x per correct pick. That means the full 11-leg payout won’t reach the full 1000x, but the tradeoff is a more focused, data-driven edge.
Rather than guessing, I’m building this streak using sharp data and strategy, including:
- Pitcher 1st Inning ERA, WHIP, and K rates
- Team-level NRFI trends (season, home/away, splits vs LHP/RHP)
- Ballpark scoring environments & weather factors
- Recent offensive performance and lineup momentum
This isn’t just a gut feel — it’s a calculated edge.
I’ll be posting picks daily, breaking them down along the way as we chase perfection — one scoreless first inning at a time. Whether we hit a short streak or go all the way, the goal is consistent, +EV decisions with long-term upside.
Let’s chase perfection — one scoreless first inning at a time.
If your new to UnderDog Fantasy sign up with code JUKEMANN to get a sign-up bonus and join the streak
Our first two picks to start this streak will be:
- Luis Severino not to allow a run in the 1st
- Hunter Greene not to allow a run in the 1st
Won first two Legs of our streak.
Here are the data sheets from our NRFI algorithm dashboard
vs Luis Severino
(click to enlarge)
vs Hunter Greene
(click to enlarge)
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