Our model takes a conservative approach when generating NRFI recommendations, considering factors like team NRFI history, pitcher performance, team batting stats, ballpark conditions, weather, and player/team streaks. Focusing on single-team NRFIs, rather than the entire game, can improve your chances by targeting specific team tendencies in the first inning. (Tip: Always check current weather conditions, as they can significantly affect ball travel in certain MLB ballparks.) Single-team NRFIs are often best used in parlays due to the heavy juice placed by sportsbooks. However, we also recommend full-game NRFIs when our model identifies a strong opportunity across both teams.

Our model picks for the day:

  • Marlins/Nationals Game YRFI
  • Rockies/Braves Game YRFI
  • Cardinals Team NRFI
  • Cubs Team NRFI
  • Astros Team NRFI
  • A’s Team NRFI
  • Blue Jays Team NRFI

🎯 Today’s NRFI/YRFI Betting Strategy

Here is how we are structuring the picks today. Below is the tracking slip and “lotto-style” — not something I’d recommend going heavy on, but it’s a fun way to spread risk across multiple angles.

YRFI Bets (Straight Plays Only):

  • Taking both YRFI matchups as straight bets — these are full-game plays where both teams rated “YRFI” or “YRFI Lean” in the model.

🧩 Team NRFI Round Robin (3/5 Format):

  • Playing 5 single-team NRFI picks in a 3/5 Round Robin.
  • This structure builds 10 three-leg parlays using every possible trio of the five teams.
  • The key advantage: even if 2 legs miss, we should still finish slightly above break-even based on odds.

🔒 Top 3 NRFI Picks (If I Had to Choose Just 3):

These are the strongest plays today based on model ratings, opposing pitcher quality, and first-inning performance trends.

  • Cardinals Team NRFI
  • Cubs Team NRFI
  • Astros Team NRFI

Picks went 6-1:

Single Team NRFI bets are available on Fanatics Sportsbook, BetMGM Sportsbooks, and MyBookie.

Here are the game dashboards from our NRFI model:

Marlins/Nationals Game YRFI
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Rockies/Braves Game YRFI
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Cubs Team NRFI
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Cardinals Team NRFI
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Astros Team NRFI
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Blue Jays Team NRFI
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A’s Team NRFI
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No site updates until July 28th

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