Our model takes a conservative approach when generating NRFI recommendations, considering factors like team NRFI history, pitcher performance, team batting stats, ballpark conditions, weather, and player/team streaks. Focusing on single-team NRFIs, rather than the entire game, can improve your chances by targeting specific team tendencies in the first inning. (Tip: Always check current weather conditions, as they can significantly affect ball travel in certain MLB ballparks.) Single-team NRFIs are often best used in parlays due to the heavy juice placed by sportsbooks. However, we also recommend full-game NRFIs when our model identifies a strong opportunity across both teams.
- Check out our free detailed NRFI Cheat Sheets
- Results from All Teams from the last 14 Games Played
- Team NRFI-YRFI Split Records
Our model picks for the day:
- Marlins/Nationals Game YRFI
- Rockies/Braves Game YRFI
- Cardinals Team NRFI
- Cubs Team NRFI
- Astros Team NRFI
- A’s Team NRFI
- Blue Jays Team NRFI
🎯 Today’s NRFI/YRFI Betting Strategy
Here is how we are structuring the picks today. Below is the tracking slip and “lotto-style” — not something I’d recommend going heavy on, but it’s a fun way to spread risk across multiple angles.
✅ YRFI Bets (Straight Plays Only):
- Taking both YRFI matchups as straight bets — these are full-game plays where both teams rated “YRFI” or “YRFI Lean” in the model.
🧩 Team NRFI Round Robin (3/5 Format):
- Playing 5 single-team NRFI picks in a 3/5 Round Robin.
- This structure builds 10 three-leg parlays using every possible trio of the five teams.
- The key advantage: even if 2 legs miss, we should still finish slightly above break-even based on odds.
🔒 Top 3 NRFI Picks (If I Had to Choose Just 3):
These are the strongest plays today based on model ratings, opposing pitcher quality, and first-inning performance trends.
- Cardinals Team NRFI
- Cubs Team NRFI
- Astros Team NRFI

Picks went 6-1:

Single Team NRFI bets are available on Fanatics Sportsbook, BetMGM Sportsbooks, and MyBookie.
Here are the game dashboards from our NRFI model:
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