Our model takes a conservative approach when generating NRFI recommendations, considering factors like team NRFI history, pitcher performance, team batting stats, ballpark conditions, weather, and player/team streaks. Focusing on single-team NRFIs, rather than the entire game, can improve your chances by targeting specific team tendencies in the first inning. (Tip: Always check current weather conditions, as they can significantly affect ball travel in certain MLB ballparks.) Single-team NRFIs are often best used in parlays due to the heavy juice placed by sportsbooks. However, we also recommend full-game NRFIs when our model identifies a strong opportunity across both teams.

⚾️Our model picks for the day:

  • Pirates/Tigers Game NRFI🚫🌩️
  • Royals/Rangers Game NRFI
  • Rockies/Nationals Game YRFI
  • Guardians/Giants Game NRFI
  • Brewers Team NRFI 🚫🌩️
  • Marlins Team NRFI✅ (only being used for Lotto Slip)

Model Picks:

  • Pirates/Tigers – NRFI
    Two of the most consistent NRFI arms today in a park with low volatility. Both teams have struggled to get production from the top of the lineup recently.
  • Royals/Rangers – NRFI
    Game is in a dome, eliminating weather risk. Pitchers are trending well, and both teams’ top of the order hasn’t produced much early damage.
  • Rockies/Nationals – YRFI
    Marquez and Parker are both liabilities in the 1st inning, and Nationals Park has one of the highest YRFI rates (55%). Risky arms in a hitter-friendly spot.
  • Guardians/Giants – NRFI
    Verlander’s command and Logan Allen’s splits both support NRFI. Top of the order hitters on both sides haven’t been connecting early.
  • Brewers Team NRFI
    Misiorowski is making his mark fast, and the Brewers are on a 12-game NRFI streak. Cubs’ top hitters have cooled down considerably.
  • Marlins Team NRFI (included only in the lotto parlay)
    Suarez has been elite in the 1st, and Miami’s early bats have lacked punch. This one is high juice, so we’re slotting it into the parlay only.

🎯 Today’s NRFI/YRFI Betting Strategy

Game Bets (Straight Plays Only):

  • Guardians/Giants Game
  • Royals/Rangers Game NRFI
  • Rockies/Nationals Game YRFI

🧩 Parlay Play:

Pirates/Tigers NRFI is at (-160) pairing with Brewers NRFI to get to a plus money bet.

  • Pirates/Tigers Game NRFI
  • Brewers Team NRFI

Below is the tracking slip and “lotto-style” — not something I’d recommend going heavy on, high risk high reward bet.

Model picks went 1-3:

🎯Game dashboards from the model:

Guardians/Giants Game NRFI
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Royals/Rangers Game NRFI
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Pirates/Tigers Game NRFI
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Rockies/Nationals Game YRFI
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Brewers Team NRFI NRFI
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Marlins Team NRFI
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Single Team NRFI bets are available on Fanatics Sportsbook, BetMGM Sportsbooks, and MyBookie.

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