Picks for June 24, 2025

Our model takes a conservative approach when generating NRFI recommendations, considering factors like team NRFI history, pitcher performance, team batting stats, ballpark conditions, weather, and player/team streaks. Focusing on single-team NRFIs, rather than the entire game, can improve your chances by targeting specific team tendencies in the first inning. (Tip: Always check current weather conditions, as they can significantly affect ball travel in certain MLB ballparks.) Single-team NRFIs are often best used in parlays due to the heavy juice placed by sportsbooks. However, we also recommend full-game NRFIs when our model identifies a strong opportunity across both teams.

🎯Our model picks for the day:

Astros Team NRFI✅
Team Dodgers/Rockies Game YRFI✅
Rays Team NRFI✅
Pirates/Brewers Game NRFI✅
Blue Jays Team NRFI❌
Athletics/Tigers Game NRFI❌

🧠Betting strategy for today:

🔁 3-Leg Single Team NRFI Parlay❌

Astros Team NRFI✅
Rays Team NRFI❌
Blue Jays Team NRFI❌

🧾Straight Bets (Full Game NRFI)

Pirates vs Brewers – NRFI✅
Athletics vs Tigers – NRFI❌

🔁 Paired NRFI/YRFI Combo Bet✅

Dodgers vs Rockies – YRFI✅
Rays NRFI (or substitute any other team NRFI you trust)

🔥Breakdown:

⚾️ Astros Team NRFI✅

🧠 Facing a light-hitting top of the lineup with limited 1st-inning power.
🧱 Opposing pitcher has a strong WHIP and reliable 1st-inning control.
🔒 Astros are on a favorable NRFI streak — a trusted team-side play.

⚾️ Rays Team NRFI✅

💤 Tampa Bay ranks among the bottom in 1st-inning SLG and HR%.
🎯 Opposing pitcher commands the zone well in the 1st, limiting base traffic.
📉 Rays have underperformed early vs right-handed pitching.

⚾️ Blue Jays Team NRFI❌

🚫 Top of the Jays lineup has cooled off early in games.
💪 The opposing starter has a solid 1st-inning ERA and WHIP profile.
🔄 Toronto is trending as a reliable team NRFI option with consistent starts.

⚾️ Dodgers/Rockies Game YRFI✅

💥 Coors Field = elite run environment, especially in the 1st inning.
📈 Both teams rank high in 1st-inning SLG and HR rates.
🧮 Pitching matchup suggests volatility — good conditions for early runs.

⚾️ Pirates/Brewers Game NRFI✅

🧊 Both offenses have struggled to score in the 1st across recent weeks.
🧮 Pitchers on both sides show solid early-inning metrics.
🧱 Model confidence is high on this being a low-risk NRFI play.

⚾️ Athletics/Tigers Game NRFI❌

📉 Oakland brings one of the lowest 1st-inning scoring rates in MLB.
🧲 Tigers’ starter has elite early control and command.
🔕 Both lineups lack pop early — good support for a full-game NRFI.

🎰Below is our tracker bet placed:

Model Picks went 4-2 on the day:

📊Game dashboard from our model:

Dodger/Rockies Game YRFI
(click to enlarge)

Single Team NRFI bets are available on Fanatics Sportsbook, BetMGM Sportsbooks, and MyBookie.

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