Our model takes a conservative approach when generating NRFI recommendations, considering factors like team NRFI history, pitcher performance, team batting stats, ballpark conditions, weather, and player/team streaks. Focusing on single-team NRFIs, rather than the entire game, can improve your chances by targeting specific team tendencies in the first inning. (Tip: Always check current weather conditions, as they can significantly affect ball travel in certain MLB ballparks.) Single-team NRFIs are often best used in parlays due to the heavy juice placed by sportsbooks. However, we also recommend full-game NRFIs when our model identifies a strong opportunity across both teams.
- Check out our free detailed NRFI Cheat Sheets
- Results from All Teams from the last 14 Games Played
- Team NRFI-YRFI Split Records
🎯Our model picks for the day:
- Mets/Pirates Game NRFI✅
- Marlins/Diamondbacks Game YRFI❌
- Orioles Team NRFI✅
- Mariners Team NRFI❌
🔥Breakdown:
⚾️ Straight: Mets vs Pirates — NRFI
- 🧱 David Peterson (NYM) on a 6-game NRFI streak, with just 0.8 hits allowed per 1st inning.
- 📉 Mitch Keller (PIT) has a 0.80 WHIP in the 1st at home and has posted 2 straight NRFIs.
- 🧠 Both lineups are below average in 1st-inning production; Pirates 20% home YRFI rate, Mets 27% on the road.
⚾️ Straight: Marlins vs Diamondbacks — YRFI
- 💣 Eury Pérez (MIA) has a 6.00 ERA and is allowing .366 AVG in the 1st inning.
- 💥 D-backs have scored in 64% of their last 14 first innings.
- 🧠 Chase Field ranks 5th in YRFI rate among domed stadiums at 55% with 11 HRs in the 1st inning.
⚾️ 2-Leg Parlay: Orioles Team NRFI + Mariners Team NRFI
🔸 Orioles Team NRFI
- 🧱 Ryan Pepiot (TB) has a 4-game NRFI streak and holds batters to a .211 AVG in the 1st.
- 📉 Orioles have failed to score in the 1st in 10 of their last 14 games (71%).
- 🧠 Tampa has held teams to a 79% NRFI rate over their last 14 games.
🔸 Mariners Team NRFI
- 🧱 Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) has a 5-game NRFI streak and allows just 0.6 hits per 1st inning.
- 📉 Mariners haven’t scored in the 1st inning in 8 of last 10 games.
- 💥 Globe Life Field leans NRFI at night (52%) and both pitchers have strong QANS.
🎰Below is our tracker bet placed:
Picks went 2-2.
📊Game dashboards from our model:
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Single Team NRFI bets are available on Fanatics Sportsbook, BetMGM Sportsbooks, and MyBookie.
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