Our model takes a conservative approach when generating NRFI recommendations, considering factors like team NRFI history, pitcher performance, team batting stats, ballpark conditions, weather, and player/team streaks. Focusing on single-team NRFIs, rather than the entire game, can improve your chances by targeting specific team tendencies in the first inning. (Tip: Always check current weather conditions, as they can significantly affect ball travel in certain MLB ballparks.) Single-team NRFIs are often best used in parlays due to the heavy juice placed by sportsbooks. However, we also recommend full-game NRFIs when our model identifies a strong opportunity across both teams.

🎯Our model picks for the day:

  • Cardinals/Guardians Game NRFI

🔥Breakdown:


Cardinals @ Guardians – Full Game NRFI

  • 🧠 Both Starters in NRFI Form:
    • Miles Mikolas (STL): 6 straight NRFI, 1.20 1st Inning ERA
    • Slade Cecconi (CLE): 6-1 NRFI record, 0.71 1st Inning WHIP
  • 🧱 Strong Team Streaks:
    • Cardinals: 6 NRFI streak
    • Guardians: 2 NRFI streak
  • 💡 Quality NRFI Indicators:
    • Both teams 70%+ in Season, Home/Away, and Last 14 NRFI% splits
    • Ballpark YRFI just 37%, low home run rate (6% total at Progressive)

🎰Below is our tracker bet placed:

We lost the only pick we had:

📊Game dashboards from our model:

Cardinals/Guardinas Game NRFI
(click to enlarge)

Single Team NRFI bets are available on Fanatics Sportsbook, BetMGM Sportsbooks, and MyBookie.

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